X to play (4 2)
+24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
| X O O | | O X |
| X O O | | O X |
| O | | X | S
| O | | X | n
| | | X | o
| |BAR| | w
| X | | O | i
| X | | O | e
| X | | X O |
| O X | | X O |
| O X | | X O |
+-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pipcount X: 167 O: 159 X-O: 0-0/Money (1)
CubeValue: 1
1. 3 8/4 6/4 Eq.: -0.002
1.0% 16.2% 49.7% 50.3% 15.9% 0.9%
Rollout settings:
Truncated rollout, depth 9,
360 games (equiv. 131607 games),
played 3-ply (precise),
random seed, without race database.
Note:Snowie4によると、ポストクロフォードでフリードロップがある場合、35>24の後はテイクになります。
O on rollのキューブアクションは以下の通り。
Match to 2. Score X-O: 1-0
O on roll, cube action
+-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
| X O O | | O X |
| X O O | | O X |
| O | | X | S
| O | | X | n
| | | X | o
| |BAR| | w
| | | O | i
| X | | O | e
| X | | O |
| O X X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O |
+24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
Pipcount X: 161 O: 159 X-O: 1-0/2 (1)
CubeValue: 1
Rollout Money equity: -0.002
1.0% 16.2% 49.7% 50.3% 15.9% 0.9%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: -0.002 ア0.007.
Rollout settings:
Truncated rollout, depth 9,
360 games (equiv. 131607 games),
played 3-ply (precise),
random seed, without race database.
1. Double, take 0.989
2. No double 0.905 (-0.083)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.011)
Proper cube action: Double, take
07/09/08追記
GNUで深くまわした結果は以下の通り。
take/pass のボーダーと考えておくのが適当か
Cube analysis
Rollout cubeless equity +0.173 (Money: +0.010)
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.992
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.008)
3. No double +0.919 ( -0.073)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
0.499 0.185 0.026 - 0.501 0.175 0.025 CL +0.173 CF +0.919
[0.011 0.007 0.003 - 0.011 0.006 0.003 CL 0.005 CF 0.041]
Player pescini owns 2-cube:
0.498 0.216 0.048 - 0.502 0.197 0.040 CL +0.992 CF +0.992
[0.002 0.006 0.004 - 0.002 0.006 0.005 CL 0.009 CF 0.009]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1070332803 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 1.96 (min. 288 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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