よい子 > マニヤデータ > Race1

 X on roll, cube action
 +24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
 |             O  O |   |  O  O  O  O  O    |
 |             O  O |   |  O  O  O  O  O    |
 |                  |   |     O             | S
 |                  |   |                   | n
 |                  |   |                   | o
 |                  |BAR|                   | w
 |                  |   |                   | i
 |                  |   |                   | e
 |                  |   |     X             |
 |             X  X |   |  X  X  X  X  X    |
 |             X  X |   |  X  X  X  X  X    |
 +-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
 Pipcount  X: 120  O: 120  X-O: 0-0/Money (1)
 CubeValue:  1

Snowie3ply(gnubg2ply)

 3-Ply        Money equity: 0.142
      0.0%   0.0%  57.1%    42.9%   0.0%   0.0%
       1.  No double         0.210  
       2.  Double, take     -0.030  (-0.239)
       3.  Double, pass      1.000  (+0.790)
 Proper cube action: No double, beaver     23%

Snowie1ply Full 3600games

 Rollout      Money equity: 0.143
      0.0%   0.0%  57.2%    42.8%   0.0%   0.0%
      95% confidence interval:
         - money cubeless eq.: 0.143 ア0.019.
      Rollout settings:
         Full rollout,
         3600 games (equiv. 10037 games),
         played 1-ply,
         seed 1, with race database.
       1.  No double         0.212  
       2.  Double, take     -0.026  (-0.238)
       3.  Double, pass      1.000  (+0.788)
 Proper cube action: No double, beaver     23%
他の設定に比べて誤差が大きめだったので試行数を追加。

Snowie1ply Full 36000games

 Rollout      Money equity: 0.147
      0.0%   0.0%  57.3%    42.7%   0.0%   0.0%
      95% confidence interval:
         - money cubeless eq.: 0.147 ア0.006.
      Rollout settings:
         Full rollout,
         36000 games (equiv. 101550 games),
         played 1-ply,
         random seed, with race database.
       1.  No double         0.217  
       2.  Double, take     -0.017  (-0.234)
       3.  Double, pass      1.000  (+0.783)
 Proper cube action: No double, beaver     23%

Snowie2ply Full 360games

 Rollout      Money equity: 0.143
      0.0%   0.0%  57.2%    42.8%   0.0%   0.0%
      95% confidence interval:
         - money cubeless eq.: 0.143 ア0.009.
      Rollout settings:
         Full rollout,
         360 games (equiv. 49814 games),
         played 2-ply (medium),
         seed 1, with race database.
       1.  No double         0.209  
       2.  Double, take     -0.030  (-0.240)
       3.  Double, pass      1.000  (+0.791)
 Proper cube action: No double, beaver     23%

Snowie3ply Full 360games

 Rollout      Money equity: 0.138
      0.0%   0.0%  56.9%    43.1%   0.0%   0.0%
      95% confidence interval:
         - money cubeless eq.: 0.138 ア0.007.
      Rollout settings:
         Full rollout,
         360 games (equiv. 72189 games),
         played 3-ply (medium, 20%),
         seed 1, with race database.
       1.  No double         0.203  
       2.  Double, take     -0.041  (-0.244)
       3.  Double, pass      1.000  (+0.797)
 Proper cube action: No double, beaver     23%

2003-11-19

Masanori Coda(coda@backgammon.gr.jp)