X on roll, cube action +24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ | O O | | O O O O O | | O O | | O O O O O | | | | O | S | | | | n | | | | o | |BAR| | w | | | | i | | | | e | | | X | | X X | | X X X X X | | X X | | X X X X X | +-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ Pipcount X: 120 O: 120 X-O: 0-0/Money (1) CubeValue: 1
3-Ply Money equity: 0.142 0.0% 0.0% 57.1% 42.9% 0.0% 0.0% 1. No double 0.210 2. Double, take -0.030 (-0.239) 3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.790) Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
Rollout Money equity: 0.143 0.0% 0.0% 57.2% 42.8% 0.0% 0.0% 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.143 ア0.019. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 3600 games (equiv. 10037 games), played 1-ply, seed 1, with race database. 1. No double 0.212 2. Double, take -0.026 (-0.238) 3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.788) Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%他の設定に比べて誤差が大きめだったので試行数を追加。
Rollout Money equity: 0.147 0.0% 0.0% 57.3% 42.7% 0.0% 0.0% 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.147 ア0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 36000 games (equiv. 101550 games), played 1-ply, random seed, with race database. 1. No double 0.217 2. Double, take -0.017 (-0.234) 3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.783) Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
Rollout Money equity: 0.143 0.0% 0.0% 57.2% 42.8% 0.0% 0.0% 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.143 ア0.009. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 360 games (equiv. 49814 games), played 2-ply (medium), seed 1, with race database. 1. No double 0.209 2. Double, take -0.030 (-0.240) 3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.791) Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
Rollout Money equity: 0.138 0.0% 0.0% 56.9% 43.1% 0.0% 0.0% 95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.138 ア0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 360 games (equiv. 72189 games), played 3-ply (medium, 20%), seed 1, with race database. 1. No double 0.203 2. Double, take -0.041 (-0.244) 3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.797) Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
2003-11-19
Masanori Coda(coda@backgammon.gr.jp)