X on roll, cube action +24-23-22-21-20-19-------18-17-16-15-14-13-+ | O O | | O O O O O | | O O | | O O O O O | | | | O | S | | | | n | | | | o | |BAR| | w | | | | i | | | | e | | | X | | X X | | X X X X X | | X X | | X X X X X | +-1--2--3--4--5--6--------7--8--9-10-11-12-+ Pipcount X: 120 O: 120 X-O: 0-0/Money (1) CubeValue: 1
3-Ply Money equity: 0.142
0.0% 0.0% 57.1% 42.9% 0.0% 0.0%
1. No double 0.210
2. Double, take -0.030 (-0.239)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.790)
Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
Rollout Money equity: 0.143
0.0% 0.0% 57.2% 42.8% 0.0% 0.0%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.143 ア0.019.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
3600 games (equiv. 10037 games),
played 1-ply,
seed 1, with race database.
1. No double 0.212
2. Double, take -0.026 (-0.238)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.788)
Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
他の設定に比べて誤差が大きめだったので試行数を追加。
Rollout Money equity: 0.147
0.0% 0.0% 57.3% 42.7% 0.0% 0.0%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.147 ア0.006.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
36000 games (equiv. 101550 games),
played 1-ply,
random seed, with race database.
1. No double 0.217
2. Double, take -0.017 (-0.234)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.783)
Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
Rollout Money equity: 0.143
0.0% 0.0% 57.2% 42.8% 0.0% 0.0%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.143 ア0.009.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
360 games (equiv. 49814 games),
played 2-ply (medium),
seed 1, with race database.
1. No double 0.209
2. Double, take -0.030 (-0.240)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.791)
Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
Rollout Money equity: 0.138
0.0% 0.0% 56.9% 43.1% 0.0% 0.0%
95% confidence interval:
- money cubeless eq.: 0.138 ア0.007.
Rollout settings:
Full rollout,
360 games (equiv. 72189 games),
played 3-ply (medium, 20%),
seed 1, with race database.
1. No double 0.203
2. Double, take -0.041 (-0.244)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.797)
Proper cube action: No double, beaver 23%
2003-11-19
Masanori Coda(coda@backgammon.gr.jp)